Germany reports rising COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations as Berlin leads the surge
Nikhil Prasad Fact checked by:Thailand Medical News Team Jul 21, 2024 3 months, 1 week, 1 day, 17 hours, 24 minutes ago
COVID-19-News: Despite being in the warmer summer season, the capital city of Berlin has become the epicenter of a new wave of COVID-19 infections. Health experts are sounding the alarm, warning that the year-end surge might arrive earlier and with greater intensity compared to the previous year.
Germany reports rising COVID-19 infections and hospitalizations as Berlin leads the surge
Sewage Data Reveals Alarming Trends
Measurements from Berlin's sewage treatment plants have detected a tenfold increase in the virus load since the end of March. Daniel Sagebiel from the State Office for Health and Social Affairs (LAGeSo) confirmed to local
COVID-19 News outlets, "We are currently seeing a SARS-CoV-2 wave in Berlin."
The correlation between increased virus levels in wastewater and rising infections is well-established. "Coronaviruses enter the wastewater through saliva, especially from excretions from the digestive tract," Sagebiel explained. While the current values remain below last winter's peak, the trend mirrors the early stages of the 2023 wave, suggesting that infection numbers could soon surpass previous records if the current rate of increase continues.
https://www.focus.de/gesundheit/coronavirus/schon-so-viele-keime-wie-im-oktober-2023-die-naechste-corona-welle-bricht-gerade-aus-berlin-ueber-deutschland-herein_id_260154599.html
Early Indications from Wastewater Data
Berlin's wastewater data has proven to be one of the most reliable indicators of future infection rates for several reasons:
-Early Detection: Infected individuals shed the virus before showing symptoms, allowing wastewater data to predict corona waves weeks before they become apparent in hospitals and clinics.
-Comprehensive Coverage: The data encompasses almost all Berliners, as samples are taken from three major sewage treatment plants. The consistent rise across all plants indicates that the virus is not localized but spreading throughout the city.
-Reliable Testing: Unlike fluctuating test numbers due to holidays or personal choice, wastewater data remains consistent as it captures the daily activities of the entire population.
Currently, official infection numbers reported by the Robert Koch Institute (RKI) are declining, likely due to reduced testing. However, the wastewater data suggests that actual infections are on the rise.
The Emergence of New Variants
The specific variant driving the current wave remains unclear. Initial analysis indicates the presence of several mutations, particularly the subtypes JN.1 and KP.3,
with the latter accounting for about one-third of detected viruses. These mutations are also showing up in samples across Germany, with the RKI noting increased infections from new mutations like KP.2 and KP.3.
The symptoms associated with these variants include:
Fever
Chills
Cough
Sore throat
Headache
Muscle aches
Breathing problems
Loss of smell and taste
Fatigue
Gastrointestinal issues
Based on the viral load in Berlin's wastewater, many Germans could experience these symptoms as the new wave progresses.
District and Regional COVID-19 Situations
Bamberg in Bavaria reported a 7-day incidence of 12.9 per 100,000 inhabitants, with 10 new cases registered over the last week. The total confirmed cases in Bamberg stand at 34,281. Of the 35 intensive care beds, 19 are occupied, and none by COVID-19 patients.
The Uckermark district in Brandenburg has a 7-day incidence of 1.7 per 100,000 inhabitants, with two new cases reported over the past week. The total number of confirmed cases in the district is 49,352. The district has 15 intensive care beds, with 13 occupied and none by COVID-19 patients.
In the urban district of Baden-Baden, the 7-day incidence rate is 3.6 per 100,000 inhabitants, with no new infections reported recently. The total confirmed cases stand at 24,265. Of the 17 intensive care beds, 12 are occupied, with no COVID-19 patients.
The Soest district in North Rhine-Westphalia reported a 7-day incidence of 6.6 per 100,000 inhabitants, with 20 new cases over the last week. The total number of confirmed cases is 120,725. Of the 65 intensive care beds, 35 are occupied, with no COVID-19 patients.
In Lower Saxony’s Osterholz district, the 7-day incidence is 1.7 per 100,000 inhabitants, with two new cases reported. The total confirmed cases are 53,599. Of the four intensive care beds, two are occupied, and none by COVID-19 patients.
Nationwide Overview
As of July 21, 2024, the nationwide 7-day incidence rate in Germany is 5.2 per 100,000 inhabitants.
Vaccination Rates
Germany’s COVID-19 vaccination campaign, which concluded daily reporting on April 8, 2023, saw 76.3% of the population fully vaccinated, equivalent to 63,493,268 people. A total of 188,244,457 vaccine doses were administered.
Preparing for Another Corona Winter
As the next corona wave looms, the situation in Berlin serves as a critical warning. Wastewater data indicates a rising trend that could soon extend across Germany. Health authorities and the public must stay vigilant, especially as new variants and mutations emerge. Continued monitoring, testing, and vaccination efforts will be crucial in mitigating the impact of the forthcoming winter wave.
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